According to the Economic Cycle Research Institute, seven out of 10 citizens now believe we are or will soon be in a recession. Minnesota state economist Tom Stinson worries that fewer state residents will buy cars or make other big purchases, now that they have less home equity to draw on. An expected slowdown in spending and the job market lurks behind Stinson’s latest estimate of a revenue shortfall of $373 million in the state budget for fiscal year 2008-09. Other states have the same problems. The leading home price index is at a six-year low, financial services are at a 13-year low, while non-financial services are at a 56-month low, according to figures kept by ECRI.